The Queensland coast has had a period of relative cyclonic calm since the storms that brought the Brisbane floods of 1974, but is that about to change? Cyclone Ingrid, centred 330 kilometres off Cooktown has just intensified to category five. Perhaps the BOM is playing it down, or maybe journalists don’t think they have any business alarming the public but that puts it in the Cyclone Tracy league.
Cyclone Tracy, for those who’ve forgotten, flattened much of Darwin at Christmas 1974, as well as partially leveling the career of Gough Whitlam – his apparent reluctance to return from an overseas trip cemented the public’s impression of imperial disdain for ordinary Australians.
The BBC reports that Tracy had winds of up to 135 mph. The Northern Territory Library says that the anemometer ceased functioning at 217 km/h. That would make it category three or four (three has wind gusts up to 224 km/h, and four up to 279 km/h). Category five is reserved for cyclones with wind gusts of 280 km/h plus – somewhere around 25% stronger.
Of course Ingrid may never come ashore, or if she does, never come to town. But if she hit Cairns, for example, the damage would be enourmous. Before Tracy, Darwin had whole suburbs full of high-set fibro houses; after, these were reduced to forests of bare stumps. It wasn’t only cheap construction that was affected. I also saw blocks of brick veneer flats which had had the top storey blown off them. That was a category three/four. The guide on cyclones at http://clearlyexplained.com/ puts the destruction of a category five cyclone at älmost total”.
Much of Cairns has been built recently, so building standards will be higher than pre-Tracy, but that probably doesn’t help with a category five. And of course there are many older buildings, and a cyclonic storm surge to worry about.
In a recent Courier Mail article (can’t find the reference but it is at work so will add when I can) a Tsunami expert said that we had to be prepared for a Tsunami on the Queensland coast sometime or another. He also said that the storm activity on the Queensland coast had been relatively benign in recent times, and that dunes running parallel to the coast and boulders high up and back from the coast reflected earlier violent events. Let’s hope the good times aren’t about to end now. Queensland’s coastal settlement patterns aren’t designed to deal with Tsunamis, or category five cyclones.
March 08, 2005 | Graham
Will Ingrid equal Tracy?
March 06, 2005 | Ronda Jambe
You’ve got to be mean to be green
It’s not easy being an eco-fem. That why Vandana Shiva and Arundhati Roy are heroines. Long ago, I also had some sympathy for Ros Kelly as she struggled to place ‘brown issues’ on the policy agenda. Overall Labor has not enjoyed my full respect since Whitlam flooded Lake Pedder, but let’s not talk of ‘who killed who’. He is, after all, a bloke. It’s just one of many little grudges that keep me going. Labor people have always been good haters, that’s one of the things that attracted me to them. But like love, it’s sometimes easier from a distance.
But do women really have a corner on environmental sensitivity? Lots of female bureaucrats of my acquaintance have done a splendid job of stifling environmental progress. However, international research has shown that women with small children have the highest levels of awareness and concern about the environment. Clearly they are thinking about where their kids will be spending the rest of their lives-the future. Not to mention the motherly urge and immediate utility of rubbing their noses in their messes as early and often as possible.
As Director of Domesticity, I know that every plastic bag entering the premises has to be accounted for. Is it worth one seabird’s choking? I can’t handle that sort of guilt, so I head them off at the door.
But will those I abide with accept my guidance? In the past my beloved and I have had screaming sessions at the supermarket check-out counter: he wanted plastic bags, I insisted on boxes to complete the cycle- they served as holding bins for all the paper that must be recycled to save the planet, even if I do miss the pick up date occasionally. That should be his job, anyway. Suddenly last year he capitulated and now finds the green carrier bags quite acceptable. Reason has prevailed, and it is possible to once again believe in human edification. There has been a phase transition, and he just manifested that on a local, fractal level. (Excuse me, I’m losing my lucidity, but complex adaptive systems and fractals are ‘my thing’)
And it wasn’t my moralistic whip-cracking that did the job. He always mistook my womanly altruism for perverse eccentricity. But now that the reusable bags have become mainstream, his main defence has collapsed.
His retaliation to my green regime has more subtle dimensions. He rejects my home grown veggies, makes a show of choking on my luscious herbs. The reason? ‘They don’t have all the right chemicals added.’ And ‘I saw a bug once on them.’ So what? At least there is evidence something ate them and lived. The kids were easier to convince. They grew up believing lettuce should be bright green, but only because they always had the colour turned up on the TV.
Disposing of plastic bottles was another crusade. After much angst over whether to have milk delivered, use glass or cartons, the problem was solved when Canberra set up recycling bins. Before that, if one can reach so far into the past, getting rid of recyclables meant a bicycle trip with the snail-infested cardboard box bouncing along in my basket. At the time I knew the sight of a hippie in an organically grown cotton track suit and orange helmet would not cut it as a marketing ploy. But common sense has again triumphed, and recycling is widespread, if not obsessive in some places.
My family, with only a few scars resulting from my impatient acceleration of learning process, now obediently makes the treks with the compost bucket. Alas, they do not yet appreciate the need to clean it occasionally. Sometimes I deliberately leave things to ripen in the fridge, because it is instructive for them to observe the totality of the food cycle. So far no one has become ill, as I am vigilant and swoop triumphant, noisy and saviour-like at the first sign of mould.
It seems my fate is to struggle on, ever educating, handing out jumpers as I turn down the heat, replacing aerosols with pump packs and budgeting for long life light bulbs. Can’t a young fellow understand that turning on a heater to dry his jeans is the very essence of why we have climate change? He might as well be out slaughtering butterflies in Brazil himself, inducing effects such as the tragedy of the commons and other unintended consequences with every careless action. It also implies bad planning.
While I like to think I am as sybaritic as the next person, I cannot derive pleasure from having lights on in every unoccupied room, as is often the case when I return home on a winter’s evening.
The other day I couldn’t resist pointing out to my darling mate that his method of washing up was extremely wasteful. ‘So what?’ he said, ‘It’s only water.’ I nearly stabbed him with the fork I was holding. Just in time I remembered I’m a pacifist.
And as I cultivate my little garden, other plots enter my mind. Just once, I’ll sneak a dead fly into that over-packaged, over-priced and over-produced cereal they all love.
Vandana and Arundhati would appreciate that.
March 03, 2005 | Graham
Another interest rate story
Some were well and truly banking on an interest rate rise this morning. Westpac was very fast out of the blocks with this email. Curious thing is that I’ve never received anything from them by email before, and as far as I know I’ve never opted in to any Westpac email list. Could it be that they are so anxious to get my fixed interest business that they’re completely unconcerned about the spam laws?
Or is Tim Howard advising them on their Internet strategy? A phone call will be made tomorrow to find out. Perhaps I inadvertently signed up when I extended the limit on my Visa Card the other day? In the meantime, thought some might enjoy seeing how a member of our competitive banking cartel greets a rate rise.
This looks like a good hedge product for Labor voters. Hook into a Westpac fixed interest loan before the next election and you can have low interest rates and a Labor government, all at the same time.
BTW, I love the last plug for downloading security patches for Windows – are Westpac getting sponsorship for these emails?
your virus, firewall and Windows* software
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