September 09, 2005 | Graham

Barnaby’s just looking for an excuse



You can tell that Barnaby Joyce has only agreed to the selling of Telstra under extreme pressure. Give him half an excuse and he will look to back-out. Once more he’s on the news with his concerns about selling Telstra:

I am not trying to be melodramatic but I am backing away a bit because there is new information. And any person could tell you this information is not encouraging.

The new information is that 14% of Telstra’s lines are faulty, that it has under-invested to the tune of $3B in recent years, and that it has borrowed to pay dividends.
So what more proof does Joyce need that governments aren’t good at running Telcos?
As an accountant he ought to also realise that financially, in terms of a sale, these facts are, if anything, neutral. They don’t so much affect the sale decision, but the price that buyers might be willing to pay. The choice is whether the government spends money to fix Telstra up, and maximise the price, but at the cost of that money, or whether they put it on the market “as is where is” at a lower price and leave it up to investors to stump up the readies. Either option is possible under the legislation that Joyce has agreed to support.
A clue into Joyce’s motivations was contained in a fascinating profile of him on Radio National’s Breakfast this morning (audio file not up yet). I didn’t realise it, but he’s a strong Roman Catholic, and one of the strongest forces for communitarianism in Australia is Catholic Social Justice teaching. Joyce might be representing a party that claims to be free enterprise, but he himself nurses some deep doubts about the virtues of that system.
Barnaby also has his fans. In researching this post I came across http://www.barnabyforpm.com/. So far in its life it’s only had 367 visitors, but as it rates that well in Google, it will get more.
The Barnaby revolution is only just beginning.



Posted by Graham at 10:14 am | Comments (2) |
Filed under: Australian Politics

September 07, 2005 | Graham

Evil triumphs



Helen Pringle explores the provenance, and some more, of words attributed to Voltaire in this article. He was alleged to have said, but never did, that he would defend a man’s right to say something to the death, even if he didn’t agree with it.
Another phrase that is attributed to a famous 18th Century figure, but again without the provenance being proven is “All that is necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing”. Those words are attributed to Edmund Burke and have run riot across the Internet. The first time that I came across them was on the letterhead of Jim Killen, then Member for Moreton. I suspect that this is one of the few times that Jim has actually been ahead of the times, and I took them to heart.
Pity that the moderates in the New South Wales Liberal Party haven’t. John Brogden probably had a range of reasons for stepping down, but none of them should have been that if he didn’t the Right would have made his position untenable. Yet this is being suggested as one of his reasons.
When I joined the Queensland Liberal Party it was a subset of middle Australia. It isn’t anymore. The right moved in along with a curious asymmetry. Santo Santoro and his acolytes were prepared to do all sorts of things that moderates wouldn’t, such as identifying their enemy and turning up to meetings in numbers and voting to support their friends. The people I was friendly with too frequently found that doing attractive social things was more important than standing up for principles. As things turned unpleasant, they left. Or worse, they sniped from the sidelines and complained about branch stacking and other attrocities, rather than signing their friends up.
The same process appears to be happening in New South Wales with moderates like Joe Hockey resorting to the media to launch their missiles at David Clarke, the NSW Santoro equivalent.
Politics isn’t just a battle of ideas. To determine who wins you have to count the bodies – that’s what majorities are about. Those of us in the middle have no right to complain unless we are prepared to get involved.



Posted by Graham at 9:57 pm | Comments Off on Evil triumphs |
Filed under: Australian Politics

September 05, 2005 | Graham

Intelligent design



The latest trend to be hitting metaphysics appears to be “Intelligent Design” (see this article by Hiram Caton in On Line Opinion). The theory that the universe is so obviously well-constructed that it must have been intelligently designed is apparently so compelling that it has led Brendan Nelson to suggest it ought to be discussed alongside evolution in school (although I note that he doesn’t appear to be a proponent of it as being true).
It’s not a particularly good theory, as my now 10 year old younger daughter (named Sophia, which sometimes appropriately means “wise”) pointed out when she was three. Driving along late one Sunday she asked me “Who made the world Daddy?” Not wanting to needlessly complicate the answer, and conscious she had been to Sunday School that morning I replied, “God made the world darling.” Silence. A few minutes later: “Who made God Daddy?” Good question. You can’t explain complex systems just by proposing even more complex systems behind them if the existence of complexity is the issue in the first place. So much for intelligent design. Out of the mouths of babes (which is a quick precis of yesterday’s gospel reading as well).
But metaphysics isn’t the only area where we have trouble accepting that things just happen. Take natural phenomena like Hurrican Katrina. We are already being earnestly told that it is all due to global warming, despite the fact that even the IPCC, so frequently accused of boosting the global warming case, predicts little significant increase in hurricane strength as a result of global warming.
We’re so hooked on the idea of intelligent causation that if it’s not God, it must be us. It couldn’t just happen. Someone must be to blame.
Of course someone is to blame, not for the hurricane, but for the consequences. The problem in New Orleans isn’t the hurricane so much as the lack of expenditure on maintaining and developing infrastructure. It’s not a problem unique to the US. It exists here as well, as our frequent power black-outs attest.
The recent House of Lords report into Greenhouse essentially said that adaption to Greenhouse was likely to be more fruitful than abatement. The story of the Anglophone world since the Reagan tax revolution (and the rest of the world for all I know) has been under-investment in infrastructure as a way of lowering tax rates. The devastation of Katrina shows just what false economy that can be, not to mention the human cost of that economy – it’s not very intelligent, by design or otherwise.



Posted by Graham at 9:10 am | Comments (7) |
Filed under: Environment
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